So you are giving me the home team as a dog in a must-win game? With a guy who had a 2.38 ERA at home? And a porn stache (Miles Mikolas, who apparently will never play for the Yankees)? Done and done. -170 RL.

The Cardinals went 53-29 at home this season, 21-7 on Saturdays, and 40-28 after a loss. Miles Mikolas was at his best at home, with the Cards going 10-4 behind him as he posted a 2.38 ERA. The Phillies went 6-10 behind Aaron Nola on the road this season. He’s been alternating great starts with bad ones. No runs allowed, four runs allowed, no runs allowed, four runs allowed and five days ago he allowed no runs. No consistency. Cardinals to win.

Aaron Nola will be making his first career postseason start of his eight-year career. You never know how a player, even a veteran, will fare in this situation. Miles Mikolas has made three career postseason appearances and he pitched very well in all three. The Cardinals bullpen is a big worry and that’s why I was on the Phillies in Game 1 and why I leaned Phillies for the series. However, I think they even this series at home and force a winner take all game.