Philadelphia has won six straight games against the Marlins, and I predict that extends to seven today. The Phillies are 2-1 when Kyle Gibson starts against the Marlins this season and are 8-3 in his last 11 starts overall. Marlins' pitcher Edward Cabrera has only made four starts this season, and while he hasn't looked awful, I don't think he'll be able to contain the Phillies. The Marlins are 2-9 in their last 11 games. Meanwhile, the Phillies are 12-1 in their last 13 games. Take the Phillies on the money line.
It costs -115 to go Under 8 at Caesars, but I still like it given the matchup. The Under has hit in five of the last six meetings, and the Marlins have gone Under in eight straight games overall. Kyle Gibson is coming off another strong outing and holds a 2.89 ERA in three starts vs. Miami this season. Edward Cabrera tossed five scoreless innings in his last start, with eight strikeouts. The Marlins have totaled 13 runs in their last 10 games. Go Under.
The Phillies have won 12 of 13 and I'll lay the big price behind Kyle Gibson, who should hold down this depleted Miami lineup. This line has come down from -170 with J.T. Realmuto (13 HR, 55 RBIs) getting a rest day. Still, the Phillies' lineup is plenty potent. The top four hitters have combined for 72 homers and Jean Segura, batting sixth, is hitting .375 since his return five games ago. Miami has scored 13 runs over its last 10 games and mustered two runs in its last 14 innings vs. Gibson. This is Edward Cabrera's second start since a two-month stint on the injured list, so he likely won't go deep. Lay the price.
Kyle Gibson has been pitching very well lately and he is coming off a dominant start. He pitched eight innings allowing just 1 ER in his last start against the Marlins. The Marlins are missing many key players from their lineup still and the Phillies have now won seven games in a row. Edward Cabrera should give them a solid start but so did Sandy Alcantara and the Phillies still were able to win.