I was on the fence for this game as I don't really trust the Miami offense without the injured Jazz Chisholm, but at least both Jorge Soler and Garrett Cooper returned from injury ahead of the All-Star break. In a major surprise, the Rangers are resting All-Star shortstop Corey Seager, who leads the team in homers (22) and RBIs (52). Could be that because Texas visits Oakland on Friday that Seager just stayed in California following the All-Star Game. (That's tough travel, from Texas to Miami to California -- the Rangers may simply mentally punt on this game.) The Under might not be bad here (although it just dropped from 7, which I was OK with, to 6.5, which I'm not) as Texas pitcher Jon Gray has allowed 3 ER or fewer in seven straight starts, but he also hasn't been as good away overall, and Miami's Pablo Lopez has a 2.35 ERA at home -- so we have to back the Fish on the cheap ML.

The Marlins didn't score in the final 25 innings before the All-Star Break, they haven't hit a homer in the last eight games, and Jazz Chisholm (back) isn't ready to return. But they've got Pablo Lopez going Thursday at home, where he's 3-1 with a 2.35 ERA. Lopez also excels in day games, holding batters to a .160 on-base average. He faces a Texas team that lost four straight entering the break while averaging 3.0 runs. Rangers starter Jon Gray has been vulnerable on the road, where he's 2-4 with a 4.12 ERA. Lay the small price with a Marlins team desperate to prove it can still contend for a Wild Card.