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Thu 07/21 | 5:10 PM UTC | Houston
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
N.Y. Yankees 102-68, -676 ML
NYY +1.5-190
NYY +115
Over 7.5-105
Houston Astros 116-58, +1610 ML
HOU -1.5+158
HOU -135
Under 7.5-115

Expert Picks

MLB | N.Y. Yankees 2 @ Houston 3 | 07/21 | 5:10 PM UTC

Houston -130

WIN

ANALYSIS: Houston's Cristian Javier dominated New York at Yankee Stadium on June 25 with seven no-hit innings and 13 Ks, and Javier actually has been better at home with a 2.64 ERA. In 13 innings during the day this year? He's 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA. The Stros are 20-10 vs. lefties and face Yanks southpaw Jordan Montgomery, who is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA (18.1IP, 10ER) in four career starts vs. Houston. No All-Star MVP Giancarlo Stanton or Josh Donaldson for the Bombers in Game 1 of the DH. No Yordan Alvarez for Houston, but he has been activated.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+6018 368-212-1 IN LAST 581 MLB PICKS
+545 7-1 IN LAST 8 NYY ML PICKS
+642 38-21 IN LAST 59 HOU ML PICKS

Season Splits

102-68, -676 ML
116-58, +1610 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
68%
64-29, +813
60-32, +812
65%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
61%
27-17, +102
29-14, +204
67%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
66%
4-2, +277
52-22, +909
70%
When Line was -102 to +128
MONEY LINE
When Line was -148 to -118
66%
4-2, +277
16-5, +697
76%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
66%
4-2, +277
28-12, +286
70%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
65%
23-12, +483
15-8, +510
65%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
70%
14-6, +169
14-5, +722
73%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
76%
10-3, +224
9-4, +279
69%
vs HOU
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYY
33%
2-4, -272
4-2, +263
66%
when Jordan Montgomery starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Cristian Javier starts
47%
9-10, -497
8-6, +39
57%