Caesars is allowing me to take the Guardians on the runline for now -- even at an expensive price of -170 -- so I'm going to do so before this flips and it's Minnesota getting +1.5 as I think it should be. The Twins are not playing star outfielder Byron Buxton or third baseman Gio Urshela in the opener of the DH. Cleveland pitcher Zach Plesac has five straight quality starts. Minnesota's Devin Smeltzer has a 4.86 ERA on the road compared to 1.50 at home.

Day Action! This is a rematch from Thursday when Devin Smeltzer of the Twins out-pitched Zac Plesac of the Guardians in getting the win. Smeltzer's ERA is 3.05, but he's got a 4.93 FIP (fielding independent pitching). It's a more accurate stat of how a pitcher is performing. He has struggled on the road with a 4.87 ERA and FIP over 5.50. Plesac has a 16.7 K-rate, while Devin has a K-rate of just 12.6%. Smeltzer produces a swinging strike just 7.4% of the time, which ranks near the bottom of the league. Plesac's batting average against on balls in play (BABIP) is .275, while Smeltzer checks in at .294 this season. I really really like the home team in this spot!