The Astros have five of their last six games, including an 8-2 win over the Mets last night. Tonight the Astros face Carlos Carrasco, who has been worse on the road. Unfortunately, Luis Garcia has struggled at home, but I expect him to somewhat contain the Mets tonight. Most importantly, the Astros bullpen is currently the best in the league, lending them a significant advantage. Back the home team.

Might be playing with fire by fading the excellent Mets again, but they again are without leading hitter Jeff McNeill. Houston is starting all its regulars and seems to have the small pitching advantage with Luis Garcia over Carlos Carrasco, who has a 5.18 road ERA.