loading...
Thu 07/22 | 5:10 PM UTC | Detroit
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Texas Rangers 35-62, -1425 ML
TEX +1.5
TEX +130
Over 9.5
Detroit Tigers 47-51, +1409 ML
DET -1.5
DET -140
Under 9.5

Expert Picks

Texas 5 @ Detroit 7 | 07/22 | 5:10 PM UTC

Detroit -130

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Been cashing all week on Detroit in this series and see no reason why the Tigers won't complete the four-game sweep and win their sixth straight overall and eighth in a row at home. Texas has lost eight in a row, all by at least two runs, and is the only winless team since the break. And it starts one of the worst pitchers in the AL in Mike Foltynewicz (2-9, 5.91). He only gave up 10 runs over 1.2 innings last time out AND will be on short rest, meaning he probably won't be out there long. He may not be out there long simply as he's not good. It almost doesn't matter which pitcher Detroit is starting (Tyler Alexander). He won't be out there long, either, with a season high of 3.1 innings pitched.

author-image

Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+3129 125-72-5 IN LAST 202 MLB PICKS
+600 6-0 IN LAST 6 TEX ML PICKS
+500 5-0 IN LAST 5 DET ML PICKS

Season Splits

35-62, -1425 ML
47-51, +1409 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
36%
35-61, -1325
46-51, +1338
47%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
26%
13-36, -1415
27-22, +1238
55%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
36%
31-53, -803
6-4, +108
60%
When Line was +110 to +140
MONEY LINE
When Line was -150 to -120
30%
8-18, -850
2-3, -143
40%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
27%
13-34, -1215
6-4, +108
60%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
22%
5-17, -1075
12-12, +273
50%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
35%
17-31, -860
29-26, +1032
52%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
43%
30-39, +98
31-41, +368
43%
vs DET
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TEX
16%
1-5, -444
5-1, +454
83%
when Mike Foltynewicz starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Tyler Alexander starts
31%
6-13, -450
2-1, +144
66%