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Wed 07/21 | 4:35 PM UTC | Cincinnati
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
N.Y. Mets 50-43, -113 ML
NYM -1.5
NYM -135
Over 10.5
Cincinnati Reds 49-47, +73 ML
CIN +1.5
CIN +125
Under 10.5

Expert Picks

N.Y. Mets 7 @ Cincinnati 0 | 07/21 | 4:35 PM UTC

UNDER 10.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: Should be an edge for the pitchers with the shadows and the quick turnaround for this getaway Wednesday game. Mets starter Marcus Stroman has a 2.79 ERA on the season and has not allowed more than three earned runs in an outing since mid-May. Around 65 percent of my model simulations land Under this big total of 10.5 runs.

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Stephen Oh

Data Scientist
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 MLB O/U PICKS
+550 10-4-1 IN LAST 15 CIN O/U PICKS

Season Splits

50-43, -113 ML
49-47, +73 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
53%
49-43, -187
49-46, +173
51%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
42%
21-29, -730
24-24, -563
50%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
56%
30-23, -479
22-25, +342
46%
When Line was -150 to -120
MONEY LINE
When Line was +110 to +140
68%
13-6, +379
10-9, +320
52%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
36%
7-12, -732
3-9, -580
25%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
48%
17-18, -32
15-9, +526
62%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
54%
29-24, -189
12-20, -540
37%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
55%
32-26, +69
35-33, +104
51%
vs CIN
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYM
50%
1-1, +5
1-1, -31
50%
when Marcus Stroman starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Jeff Hoffman starts
47%
9-10, -92
5-5, +128
50%