The Blue Jays have won five games in a row while the Orioles have lost six games in a row and 20 in a row on the road. Matt Harvey has allowed 17 earned runs in 13.2 IP this month and he allowed four runs in 4.1 IP in his last start against the Blue Jays. Alek Manoah struggled in his last start against the Orioles allowing four home runs in 3.1 IP before being ejected. It’s a steep price but I don’t see Matt Harvey being the starter that stops the Orioles 20-game road losing streak. Take the Blue Jays at home.

It's Matt Harvey Day! For those who aren't familiar with that term, it's like a birthday for MLB bettors because whenever Harvey pitches over the past few years, it's easy money betting against his team. Harvey (3-9, 7.80) may well be the worst starter in MLB right now and frankly could be released if bombed again in Buffalo against one of the majors' best lineups. Harvey has not finished the fifth inning since May 1 and has an 11.49 ERA over that stretch. The Jays are not good value as massive ML favorites, but pretty good at -130 on the runline -- this will be a popular play on the site today and I see Justin Perri already concurs.

It is Matt Harvey day for the Blue Jays, and it comes at their home stadium. Harvey's xBA is .298 and xSLG is .509 with a whopping 7.80 ERA. I'll happily pay this juice to go against a pitcher who has allowed 16 earned runs in his last 10.2 innings. The Toronto pitching should be able to keep the Orioles in check, as they're much better against lefties, so I expect a blowout. This is one game where I would consider playing -2.5 for a better payout.