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Wed 06/23 | 11:05 PM UTC | New York City
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Kansas City Royals 33-38, -93 ML
KC +1.5
KC +157
Over 10
N.Y. Yankees 38-34, -736 ML
NYY -1.5
NYY -172
Under 10

Expert Picks

Kansas City 5 @ N.Y. Yankees 6 | 06/23 | 11:05 PM UTC

N.Y. Yankees -172

WIN

ANALYSIS: The Yankees burned me yesterday on a runline bet behind Gerrit Cole as the Royals were 6-5 upset winners. I'm going back to the Bombers here but on the moneyline. They will have red-hot catcher Gary Sanchez in the lineup after he sat Monday because Cole has his own catcher. Kansas City appears to have the starting pitching edge with Danny Duffy (4-3, 1.94), but the lefty is coming off the injured list after missing nearly six weeks and didn't even make a rehab start, so he can't possibly be out there too long. He also has a 5.00 career ERA vs. New York. Yanks starter Michael King (0-3, 4.08) simply needs to keep it close through five innings or so and then New York can pounce on the KC bullpen. Weird stat: NYY has won seven straight Wednesday games.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+3260 55-19-2 IN LAST 76 MLB PICKS
+400 4-0 IN LAST 4 NYY ML PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 KC ML PICKS

Season Splits

33-38, -93 ML
38-34, -736 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
46%
33-38, -95
38-34, -736
52%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
44%
15-19, +56
19-18, -523
51%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
41%
19-27, -50
35-30, -672
53%
When Line was +142 to +172
MONEY LINE
When Line was -187 to -157
25%
4-12, -580
7-8, -372
46%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
39%
11-17, -85
18-16, -443
52%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
47%
8-9, +127
12-8, +158
60%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
33%
5-10, -123
19-19, -571
50%
2nd game without a day off
REST
2nd game without a day off
45%
5-6, -57
4-5, -260
44%
vs NYY
HEAD TO HEAD
vs KC
100%
1-0, +235
0-1, -100
0%
when Danny Duffy starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Michael King starts
57%
4-3, +167
1-3, -210
25%