I've written about it many times before - fading teams that move from great hitting environments to poor ones usually have a tough time acclimating. This is a common problem for the Rockies. They play in what is, by far, the best hitters' park in baseball and their road record is awful. I'll keep up with the trend, fading Colorado and backing the Mariners behind RHP Chris Flexen to win by multiple runs. Take Seattle -1.5 runs at +125.

Wish I'd jumped on this sooner but I'll still play the host Mariners against a Rockies team that's 5-27 on the road. Seattle has won seven of eight and faces Kyle Freeland, who's been shelled over his last three starts (12.79 ERA). Look for the Mariners to improve to 10-3 in Chris Flexen's starts. Lay it.

Seattle is nothing special, but the M's are pretty solid at home and just swept four from the Rays there over the weekend. This is more about fading Colorado, though, as the Rox are a laughable 5-27 away. Lefty Kyle Freeland has a 9.58 ERA in his five starts. Mariners counterpart Chris Flexen (6-3, 4.12) has become fairly dependable and blanked the Twins over eight last time out. He has a 2.16 ERA at home.

My model says the Mariners win in almost 70 percent of the simulations, so you're getting excellent value with them at this number. Seattle is firing on all cylinders as it has won seven of its last eight contests after sweeping a four-game series against Tampa Bay over the weekend, knocking the Rays out of first place in the American League East in the process. The Rockies have lost four straight on the road, where they are a major league-worst 5-27 this year. Expect both teams' streaks to continue.