Jacob deGrom gets better as the hot summer rolls along, as the Mets have won his last six starts after the bullpen blew leads in three of his first five outings. He’s allowed only four earned runs in his 11 starts and none in the last four. DeGrom left early in each of his last two turns, but the problems aren't lingering. The Braves have lost four straight behind RHP Ian Anderson. Take the Mets to win Game 1 of the doubleheader.

This is a pretty tough ask for Atlanta in Game 1 of a doubleheader as the Braves had to play two games yesterday, including the Sunday night game, then fly late to New York for this unusual start time, where shadows surely will help the pitchers, and face Mets ace and NL Cy Young/MVP favorite Jacob deGrom (see news feed). That we are getting deGrom at less than -180 is good value, although the one worry is that he might leave early again with some sort of injury. New York is 12-2 in its past 14 as a home favorite. NOTE: I am only backing this game if deGrom is the pitcher; if for some reason he starts Game 2 instead, then this pick invalidates.