Mallorca’s players should be full of confidence after they beat the mighty Real Madrid 2-1 in their last game. That was their seventh home win of the season, and they typically excel when playing in front of their home fans. Meanwhile, Rayo Vallecano have lost nine out of 15 away matches this season, so they could be outgunned in this game.
Elche are fighting for survival after slipping down to 18th in the table. They’re two points adrift of safety, but that’s largely down to their dismal away form. Elche have a strong home record this season: six wins, seven draws, and just two defeats from 15 games. They will now welcome Valencia to Estadio MartÃnez Valero, and they should get a result. Valencia have only won three of their 15 away games this season. They’ve only scored 0.87 goals per game on the road, so they could struggle to breach Elche’s defense.
Must be something in the soccer water out of the international break as I just had my best weekend ever. I didn't do that by playing road teams, but Villareal is third in La Liga with 58 points, while "M-m-m-my" Girona is 14th in the table with 34 points. Feels like an ideal Draw No Bet spot to me as the visitors really shouldn't lose on talent but also may not win. The Yellow Submarine (wonderful) have the fourth-best away record in the league. They also won the reverse fixture 5-0.
Celta Vigo's successful season continues as the team presses for a big European finish. The club is currently six on the table and are just three points away from grabbing a spot next season in Europa League. Their combination of a brutal front line mixed with a better than average defense has made them brutal to face. Valencia is turning things around, but they're still going to struggle defensively against this Celta squad.
This is an absolutely brutal game to try to call. On one hand, you have an Atletico Madrid side who have played 15 home matches this season, and have only lost a single time in LaLiga play. On the other hand, you have the most dominate team in all of Spain. On the magical third hand, we have some significantly new injuries for this Barcelona side. Barcelona saw Raphina pick up an injury in an International friendly. this is a massive blow to the squad, and I expect them to play things slower, and prep for upcoming UCL matches. I have this match ending in a high scoring, 2-2 draw.
I already talked about how Real Madrid are expected to rotate in this match, and how I don't fully expect that to change the outcome of this match, but I also don't expect it to change the amount of goals we'll see. Mallorca's defense isn't good enough to stop Real Madrid from scoring. This over has hit in five straight from Madrid, and in eight in their last 10. I expect Madrid to score at least two goals here, and are possible of covering this over entirely by themselves.
I know that Real Madrid have to worry about Bayern Munich coming up just a few days after this match, but here's the thing. I believe that even if Real Madrid rotate heavily, and I'm talking rotate 5-7 of their starting XI, they will still win this matchup against a Mallorca side who is floundering in the relegation zone. Madrid can't afford to let up with the title race against Barcelona being so close, and they have the depth to get a big and important three points.
Most of our books have Real Sociedad at -1 so I'll jump at this fair -0.5 price for Saturday. The hosts are seventh in the La Liga table and trying to push for European qualification next season. The White and Blues are unbeaten in eight at home, although there are a few draws in there. And that's all that likely gets us vs. Levante, which is second-to-bottom in the table and has allowed the second-most goals (48). It has gotten points in only six of 14 away league matches. The sides drew 1-1 in the reverse fixture in December. Real Sociedad allowed the tying goal four minutes into second-half stoppage time on a penalty via Adrián de la Fuente.
Real Sociedad continue to be one of my favorite clubs in all of Spain to bet on. This team is sitting seventh on the table just three points outside of a European qualifying spot, which means they still care a whole lot about their upcoming matches. They are consistently giving us shootouts finding goals on both ends of the pitch. With 44 goals scored and 45 conceded, fireworks show up every time they take the pitch. Levante is struggling this season facing relegation, which means they also are motivated to find goals. Give me a 3-1 win for Real Sociedad.
Rayo Vallecano is a team in Spain that is capable of keeping things cagey and close. They've only scored 28 times this season while only conceded 35, so people will be keen to bet the under. However, Elche loves bringing out the worst in their opponents and are desperate for goals to avoid relegation. Both teams have scored in 13 of Elche's last 14 matches, with the over hitting in six straight. Expect more of the same for an Elche side pressing for points.
Seems a very fair price on Espanyol DNB considering it sits two points higher in the La Liga table than Getafe. I don't always bet teams sitting higher but on a Draw No Bet number like this it seems prudent. We are getting a discount because the hosts are struggling, but they won the reverse fixture 1-0 in mid-December. Getafe has been blanked in three of its past six overall. Starting defender Abdelkabir Abqar (great James Bond villain name) is suspended. Only bottom-of-table Real Oviedo has scored fewer goals than Getafe. Espanyol can score, it just can't defend much. Probably pushes.
Villarreal continue to be one of the more complicated teams to get reads on in LaLiga play. The team looked unbeatable for the first 18 matchdays, then fell apart for a couple months, and no appear to be back in action as they fight for a UCL finish. While Villarreal is finding their form again and have won three of their last five, Alaves are in a free fall. They're now 16th on the table after failing to win any of their last six matches, and are just two points ahead of the relegation zone. Alaves have upcoming matches they can win, this is not one of them.
Draw No Bet would have been nice, but that's -300. Espanyol closed 2025 red-hot but has struggled so far in the New Year to fall out of European spots in La Liga, sitting seventh in the table. However, Oviedo is last in La Liga by far with 17 points as well bottom in scoring (16 goals) and goal differential (minus-27). The Carbayones have a single league away win. I thought about Under 2.5. Meanwhile, the Parakeets won the reverse fixture 2-0 in October on second-half goals from Enrique GarcÃa and Pere Milla.
Pretty fair price on Draw No Bet. They are right next to each other in La Liga, not too far from the relegation zone. Alaves has managed just eight points in 13 league away matches and is winless in its past five in all competitions. Valencia enters having won two of three. It just hasn't won in this series since August 2021. Overdue then. The visitors have two defenders suspended.
Mallorca’s players could be low on confidence after losing their last four games. They’re now in the relegation zone, and they could drop down to Segunda Division next season. Mallorca have struggled on the road throughout the campaign, losing 10 out of 13 away games. That doesn’t bode well for a trip to Pamplona to face a strong Osasuna team. Osasuna are 10th in the table, 9 points clear of Mallorca. They’ve been strong at home this season, with seven wins, three draws, and just two defeats from 12 matches. That’s the sixth-best home record in La Liga, so Osasuna really should get the better of Mallorca this weekend.