We've now followed up a 9-1 stretch with three straight poor weeks in the Circa Million to effectively ruin any chance of finishing in the money. It would likely take at least a 21-4 finish to get there, and realistically we need to go at least 4-1 with this week's picks. Thankfully, there's one play I think might be the easiest of the season, though if things go to form then I'm sure that will be ruined by a few special teams touchdowns.

The contest has dealt us three must-avoid lines of 3, though thankfully one was on Thursday so we don't have to worry about it. If they had provided us with the 3.5 that's in the market for the Sunday Night Football game, the Texans probably would have made it into my top five picks with both starting tackles out for Kansas City. Alas, we can't risk another push after taking one two weeks ago, so it'll be nothing but half-point spread for us.

So which five teams am I backing? You can find my five best bets for Week 14 based on the Circa Million contest lines below.

Why listen to me? I'm 718-623-37 and up more than 32 units on ATS picks over the last eight years and even better with my top five picks each week, going 464-379-27 (55%) over the last 10 years in the Las Vegas ATS contests. 

So which NFL contest picks am I making for Week 14? ... Join SportsLine right now to see NFL ATS best bets from the expert who's 718-623-37 on ATS picks from 2017 to 2024, returning more than 32 units!

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