The 2022 Bluegreen Vacations Duels will take place at the iconic Daytona International Speedway on Thursday. The green flag drops on the first duel at 7 p.m. ET with the second duel scheduled to begin 20 minutes after the completion of the first. Chase Elliott is the 5-1 favorite in the first duel while Denny Hamlin is the 5-1 favorite in the second duel according to the latest 2022 Daytona Duels odds. 

Our proven projection model has simulated this race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

In the 2021 season, McClure nailed Martin Truex Jr. to win at Martinsville for a strong 3-1 payout. The model also nailed Kyle Larson winning the NASCAR All-Star Race at 5-2 in Texas and hit Larson again at the Ally 400 for another 5-2 payout. Then called Chase Elliott to win at Road America for a 5-2 payout.

It also called Larson's win at Texas for an 11-4 payout and his win at Kansas for a 9-4 payout in back-to-back weeks before nailing Larson to win the season finale in Phoenix to claim the 2021 NASCAR Cup Championship. In total, it called five of Larson's wins during a historic season. Anyone who followed its lead on those plays saw HUGE returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2022 Bluegreen Vacations Duels and released its projections. 

We can tell you the model is high on Ross Chastain, even though he's a 16-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Daytona odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Denny Hamlin, the Vegas favorite in the second duel at 5-1, stumbles big time and barely cracks the top five! There are far better values in this loaded field.

The model is also targeting eight other drivers with NASCAR at Daytona odds of 15-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag.  Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.

So who wins the 2022 Bluegreen Vacations Duels at Daytona? And which long shots stun NASCAR? ... Join SportsLine right now to see the full projected Daytona Duels leaderboards, all from the model that nailed Larson's win last year!