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I think it's crazy that any World Cup team other than maybe Gibraltar (are they in this?) is getting 1.5 goals at only -155. Yes, Brazil is the No. 1 team in the world but Serbia is No. 21. Many of Serbia’s players were on the team that beat Brazil to win the under-20 World Cup trophy in 2015 and beat France in the final of the under-19 European Championship final two years earlier. The Serbs won their qualifying group over Portugal. That's the extent of my soccer knowledge.
In the sea of 0-0 finishes that we’ve seen so far, the matchup between Brazil and Serbia boasts some of the best attackers in this entire competition. Brazil's options include Neymar, who is 2 goals away from the Brazil record, while Serbia features Vlahovic from Juventus and Mitrovic from Fulham who have both done nothing but score for Serbia. Brazil could cover this number by themselves but I would be shocked if Serbia didn’t contribute to the goal count.
I think this is a bargain at -135, as I expect Brazil to come out firing after seeing two powerhouses go down already. I don't think it will be Spain-Costa Rica, but I expect the Brazilians to get multiple goals. The Selecao just have too much firepower with the likes of Neymar, Richarlison, Raphinha and Gabriel Jesus. And while the Brazil defense might be the best it has ever been, Aleksandar Mitrovic or Dusan Vlahovic should crack the code at least once for the Serbs. I'd play this down to -170.
Despite its reputation as an offensive firepower, World Cup favorite Brazil usually does not ring up big scores. In the previous Cup, four of its five matches had two goals, the other had three. Serbia, similarly, has registered just four goals in the last two Cup appearances covering six matches. The Under contains value at +105, even as the Serbs have upgraded their front line. If recent history holds, an Under awaits.
Brazil are one of the favorites, but Serbia have some real quality. It's just that the South Americans are so loaded everywhere on the pitch, and because they love to hold on to the ball, I expect them to score multiple times. Serbia could get a goal through a star like Dusan Vlahovic, but with Neymar, Gabriel Jesus and Vinicius Jr., a barrage of chances to score should come Brazil's way. This feels like a game where Brazil can win a penalty against an aggressive Serbian defense. I think there's a better than 50/50 chance they cover, so getting plus odds makes it a great value play.
This matchup is one of my favorites in the entire group stage with Neymar, Vinicius Junior, Dusan Vlahovic and Aleksandar Mitrovic among the players set to take the field. Brazil is the No. 1 ranked team in the world because of their offensive firepower. The Brazilians have scored three or more goals in six of their last seven games. Serbia features an efficient offensive attack as well, scoring eight goals in their final three UEFA Nations League matches leading into the 2022 World Cup. Both teams will want to come out strong and establish an early lead, which I think helps push this game Over 2.5 (-125).





