It should be all hands on deck behind Bryce Miller and I don't anticipate him lasting long if he allows even a couple of baserunners. Going to Toronto forcing the Blue Jays to beat you twice to move on is far different than going across the border knowing you have to beat them back-to-back nights to stay alive. Of course anything is possible, but in the biggest game of the season, this will be a major gut check moment for the offense which has been stagnant. We're getting the better bullpen, and the team who hits last, at the better price. With their life on the line here and this being potentially the final home game of 2025, I'm backing the M's one more time.

What home-field edge? There hasn't been any in this ALCS, with the road team romping in all four games to date. For the Blue Jays, that means a complete turnaround of this series as they prepare to go back home up 3-2 (do they really want to go home?) if they win again tonight. Scoring 21 runs in the past two games, Toronto's bats have come alive in Seattle, and Kevin Gausman's efforts on the mound the past month-plus have encouraged, with a 2.45 ERA since the start of September. Meanwhile, Dan Wilson's bullpen strategy backfired for the Ms in Game 4, and now Bryce Miller deals with a Toronto offense that's on fire at T-Mobile Park. Play Blue Jays on ML.

As the ALCS approximates the 2019 World Series in the "no home field advantage" category, there's another development in the games at T-Mobile Park. With the Blue Jays powering for 21 runs across the past two nights, Games 3 & 4 cleared the posted totals with ease, which is why this 7 runs for Friday's Game 5 looks very reachable. As a team, the Jays are hitting .343 the past two nights after hovering around .140 in Games 1 & 2, and Bryce Miller's solid 6 IP for Seattle in Game 1 looks an outlier, considering he posted a 5.61 ERA in five September starts, and lasted only 4 1/3 innings in Game 4 of the ALDS vs. the Tigers. Play Blue Jays-Mariners Over.

This series has been the fan/betting conundrum, and I have no idea what to think. The ALCS has gone bananas in recent years: Dating to Game 3 of the 2022 ALCS, the road team has now won 15 of the last 18 games. I don't think "all-in" is accurate here, but I'm gonna just lay most cards on the table and if lose say goodbye MLB 2025. I don't much care personally about the four left otherwise (ideally Toronto wins it) so will just enjoy the WS as a fan if so. I do think Seattle wins tonight, especially with the excellent Bryan Woo in reserve and in potentially its last home game. But I'll always take insurance and rather surprised getting it.