SMU is undefeated against ACC foes at home since joining the conference in 2024...

Indiana hasn't surrendered more than 24 points in 25 consecutive games...

Do you really want to bet the Under in a West Virginia game?

Will the Oklahoma win-loss trend continue in Week 11?

Will Texas Tech be able to slow down the red hot Oklahoma State passing attack?

This is a very degenerate play on my part but if you're a college football fan and a bettor, you're probably betting weeknight MACtion like me. Both of these teams simply don't score. Bowling Green and Kent State are averaging less than 34 points per game combined and even worse, Kent State is averaging all of 4.4 PPG on the road this season. The home Falcons have a semi-ok defense and I have a hard time seeing the Golden Flashes score even two touchdowns. This one should be U-G-L-Y so play the Under. Bowling Green 17, Kent State 10.

Pac-12 After Dark lives on! Don't be scared of this total north of 70. Oregon State has the best passing attack in America and Texas State has the second-worst pass defense in the country. Both teams average over 500 total yards per game and combined, they average more than 77 points per game. There will be plenty of fireworks. If you can stay up late enough to watch this one, bet the Over and don't look back. Oregon State 48, Texas State 42.

These two teams played a couple of epic games in 2025. Both were see-saw affairs with more than 70 total points scored. But Ole Miss ended Georgia's season in a shocking Sugar Bowl victory and I think this is the payback spot for Kirby Smart's team. I've thought Georgia was the best team in the country all along and they responded very well last week vs. Florida after the stunning home loss to Auburn in mid-October. Going against Trinidad Chambliss, the ultimate gamer, on the other side scares me, but I'll play the Bulldogs for half a unit nonetheless. Georgia 34, Ole Miss 27.

All five Tennessee home games have gone under the total. In each of the Volunteers' three SEC home games, the Under has hit by 14+ points. With an uncertain quarterback situation, it does not benefit Josh Heupel's team to get into a shootout. Both of these teams excel with forcing turnovers (Kentucky 18, Tennessee 14) but I lean the Volunteers to win because of their strong rushing attack and excellent pass defense (9th ranked nationally). Tennessee 20, Kentucky 14.

At 7-1 against the spread, Louisiana Tech is one of the best teams for bettors this year in college football. The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS on the road, while Troy is 1-3 ATS at home. The Trojans are coming off a stunning win at James Madison so the letdown effect is real. But I'm all about the Louisiana Tech defense, which posted back-to-back shutouts and then held South Alabama to two touchdowns below its season average in a big win on Saturday. With a Sun Belt West Division title in reach, expect another fine effort from the Bulldogs' defense, which has forced 16 turnovers (7th nationally) this season. Louisiana Tech 30, Troy 14.

It's amazing how close this rivalry has been over the years. Dating back to 1997, 13 of 15 games in this series have been decided by a touchdown or less. And as for the total, each of the last seven meetings and 10 of the last 11 have gone under this number. Utah’s defense is giving up less than 16 points per game and BYU’s less than 19 PPG. This one does not feel like an offensive explosion by any means. Expect a one-possession game with the winner ending up in the low-20s. Utah 21, BYU 17.

If you want to see a high-scoring Big 12 game, you'll have to wait for the Saturday slate. I expect points to be at a premium in Tucson on Friday night (and yes, I'll brave the late start time to be there). TCU has the 8th best scoring defense in the country (14.1 points per game), while Arizona has only surrendered 34 points combined in four home games. In five total Big 12 games, TCU's highest combined point total (44) was against West Virginia, who is known for playing very little defense. Hopefully this is a quick game, of course won by my Wildcats, as I have a long drive home afterwards. Arizona 23, TCU 16.

Only two teams have scored 20+ points on Ohio State since Matt Patricia took over as the team's defensive coordinator before the 2025 season: Miami (24 in last year's Cotton Bowl) and Texas (24 in a valiant comeback this year). The Buckeyes' defense will have to rule with a freshman quarterback starting likely the rest of 2026. As good as USC's offense has been under Lincoln Riley, the Trojans managed only seven points in an ugly loss to Wisconsin last week. Coming off a bye week, OSU would be smart to repeat the Badgers' formula: long drives, stifle the USC rushing attack, and keep the game low-scoring. An outright upset wouldn't surprise me but a game in the 30s would. Ohio State 24, USC 21.

In four Florida State home games, the Seminoles have held opponents to at least a touchdown under their scoring average. All four games have hit the Under line. In three road games, FSU has surrendered 43+ points to each opponent. All three have hit the Over line. Talk about true home and road splits! Clemson is only averaging 21.4 points per game this season and surrendering 11.3 PPG to opponents not named LSU or Miami. The Tigers have two touchdown passes, fewest in the country. Points may be at a premium in this matchup between ACC has-beens. Florida State 23, Clemson 13.

This game is being played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta as the Gator Bowl is currently under construction. As if the Bulldogs needed anymore home field advantage! Georgia is 15-0 outright, 12-3 against the spread as a double-digit favorite vs. ranked teams since 2020. After their last five losses during the regular season / SEC Championship Game, the Bulldogs have won the next game by at least 14 points. Coming off a stunning home loss to Auburn and a bye week, Georgia will beat up on its southern neighbors yet again. Georgia 42, Florida 20.