This is a really really really *deep breath* really difficult matchup to predict. Sunderland have been the stunner of the league, and a big reason is their home form. They've only picked up three losses over 16 home matches this season. They've been fantastic at the Stadium of Light. Nottingham on the other hand, have been a roller-coaster of a club to follow, but have found some great form recently. Forest are unbeaten in their last five, which included a draw against City, Fulham, and Aston Villa in this five matches. This team loves sneaking away a point on the road, and a 1-1 final is where I think we end things this afternoon.

On a bit of a soccer heater, and I have no idea why. Guess do well out of international breaks like an NFL bye week/MLB All-Star break. I'll have to remember that next season (barely remember Monday, so unlikely). No right to lose this game because in a rarity, I can play either side at +0.25 Asian via our books -- basically a pick'em on the moneyline. Hurts me to fade Nottingham simply for the movie Notting Hill, but yep gotta do it. Sorry, Tricky Trees. The Black Cats -- this is the USA's problem: Cougars? Tigers? Get creative with nicknames -- have lost only three league home games. Sunderland still has a shot at European qualification but must get the three points here.