The line continues to move in Tulane’s favor. Their defense that has struggled against the pass, allowing 274.8 yards allowed per game. North Texas has had one of the most efficient passing attacks in the country. They can score in bunches even if a couple drives end up with no points. The Green Wave secondary has been vulnerable all year.

North Texas has been a money-maker for ATS backers, having won 10 games. Why stop now? The Mean Green have piled up a minimum of 52 points in all but one of their last half-dozen games behind in-the-groove QB Drew Mestemaker. The defense ranks sixth in the 14-team AAC. Tulane owns a .500 record ATS, with three consecutive setbacks at home. Though Green Wave coach Jon Sumrall sticks around for the game, he could have one eye on the Kentucky job that he accepted this week.

Do I think North Texas wins? Probably. But maybe 58%. So I think now that we have 3, kinda have to at home for Tulane (true home game) and be fine with a push. Checking if a coach left or the transfer portal. No sport needs a commissioner to stop all this nonsense more than college football, but I doubt it happens in my lifetime as that would mean the SEC gave up a little power. Both coaches are on their way out, which is pretty ridiculous. Don't begrudge anyone moving to a more lucrative spot, but the NCAA has to stop this. Are contracts basically gummy bears?

Both offenses can score, but North Texas does so consistently and regardless of the opponent. They lead the FBS averaging 47 points per game. Defensively is where I trust them more than Tulane. I like how the Mean Green can play strong situational defense on top of being opportunistic as well.

This doesn't strike me as a great matchup for Tulane. While North Texas was destroyed in its last spotlight game against USF, just about everything that could go wrong that night did go wrong. Now the Mean Green will bring one of the most explosive passing offenses out against a Tulane pass defense that's struggled quite a bit this season.