This is simple: While you have to respect what Indiana is building, Oregon is in another class. The Ducks are right up there with Ohio State and Miami as the clear-cut top teams in college football, and Autzen Stadium gives Oregon one of the premier home field advantages in the country. I would love this line at -6.5, but will still be backing it hard at -7. I expect a double-digit win for Oregon on Saturday.

Now that this has dropped to 7 on its own, I'll go ahead and pay to get to 6.5 just to avoid a possible push. I kinda doubt it gets there organically. I believe Indiana is a fraud just like last year. It's fun to see a new team rise up and be good for a while, especially a basketball school, but I think reality slaps the Hoosiers in the face today like Norman Dale -- probably my favorite sports movie. Should get some Heisman clarity today between two of the favorites in QBs Fernando Mendoza and Dante Moore; not sure how the Canes let Mendoza leave their backyard, but he wasn't a mega recruiting prospect.

These teams are much closer than the opening line (-10) indicated. But the reason I'm going against the line movement is because of the Hoosiers' recent offensive performances away from home. In their last three road or neutral games, they have scored 15, 17 and 20 points. That won't be enough to cover in Eugene against a legitimate national title contender.

Indiana is a better team than the one that made the playoffs last year. They have a better QB and a better offensive line. However, Oregon is a team operating at a different level than nearly everybody, and traveling to Autzen won't be easy for the Hoosiers.

Oregon has an 18-game winning streak at home, which leads the nation, and they've had two weeks to prepare for Indiana after beating Penn State 30-24 as 3.5-point underdogs. Now they get Indiana coming to Oregon, and the spread is only -7. Oregon’s home field is worth 5.5, so I look at -7 and think there's no way that Oregon is only going to be -1.5 on a neutral field. Indiana is a nice team that crushed Illinois, 63-10, and struggled at Iowa, 20-15, but this is another class, and we saw how Indiana did last year playing better classes as they lost at Ohio State and to Notre Dame in the playoffs. They are outclassed by Oregon here and are cheap.

We've seen this Indiana team struggle to gain national relevancy despite their successes the last two seasons. This year, I believe they are much better at QB, along the offensive line and on the defensive side of the ball. All three gives them an excellent chance to keep this competitive vs a red hot Oregon team, even on the road.

Until proven otherwise, I'm not an Indiana believer on the road. Last year, they had two tough road games and were blown out by both Ohio State and Notre Dame. Never mind those two teams met in the National Championship Game, it's not like the Hoosiers were all that competitive in either game. Now they go on road to a rested Oregon team, who is 22-1 at home under Dan Lanning. This Saturday, Ducks QB Dante Moore enhances his candidacy atop the Heisman Trophy race with three more touchdown passes. Oregon 35, Indiana 17.