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Sat, Oct 047:30 pm UTCFlorida Field at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
77 F
Texas
Longhorns
TEXAS
Last 5 ATS
W/L6-3
ATS4-8
O/U5-7-0
FINAL SCORE
21
-
29
Florida
Gators
FLA
Last 5 ATS
W/L3-8
ATS5-7
O/U5-7-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
6-3
Win /Loss
3-8
4-8
Spread
5-7
5-7-0
Over / Under
5-7-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
TEXAS @ FLA
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MONEYLINE
TEXAS @ FLA
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OVER / UNDER
TEXAS @ FLA
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50%
PUBLIC
50%
MONEY
95%
PUBLIC
5%
MONEY
Over55%
PUBLIC
Under45%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Over/UnderUnder 42.5 -108
LOSS
Unit2.0
+622
25-20 in Last 45 NCAAF Picks
+314
8-4 in Last 12 NCAAF O/U Picks
Gene's Analysis:

I first checked this total on Sunday and didn't play it thinking it would go up from 43.5. I was wrong, but it shouldn't matter. This game features two nasty defenses and two struggling offenses. The Longhorns may have whipped a bad Sam Houston team two weeks ago, but they still haven't shown they can score against a quality defense. Meanwhile the Gators have scored just one touchdown in each of their last three games. Weather may also play a role. I see a 16-6 type game. Two units.

Pick Made: Oct 04, 1:24 pm UTC on DraftKings
SpreadTexas -5.5 -108
LOSS
Unit1.0
+528
61-50-4 in Last 115 NCAAF Picks
+308
11-7-1 in Last 19 NCAAF ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

We're afraid that one more loss on Saturday, especially if Floirda loses touch, might be the point of no return for Billy Napier's tenure in Gainesville. The Gators offense has been in shambles; regional sources suggest the fact QB DJ Lagway didn't have a normal offseason or fall camp, spent mostly re-habbing first a shoulder, then a calf injury. Recently, he's been in a walking boot because of foot problems. In four games, Lagway has tossed 5 TD passes and 6 picks. Not good! Granted, Arch Manning's Heisman campaign looks like the biggest false alarm since the Comet Kahoutek, but the Longhorns did clear the cobwebs a bit with the 55-0 romp past Sam Houston on September 20. Play Texas

Pick Made: Oct 04, 7:49 am UTC on DraftKings
SpreadTexas -7 -105
LOSS
Unit1.0
+65
5-4 in Last 9 NCAAF ATS Picks
Jake's Analysis:

Both teams are coming off a bye week, but it is more important for a Texas who is still in the playoff picture than a 1-3 Florida team. DJ Lagway has struggled against top competition, and while Arch Manning has disappointed, Texas' defense has been strong.

Pick Made: Sep 30, 5:44 pm UTC on DraftKings
SpreadTexas -6.5 -112
LOSS
Unit1.0
+266
5-2-1 in Last 8 NCAAF Picks
+66
3-2-1 in Last 6 NCAAF ATS Picks
Thomas's Analysis:

I am going to take a shot here with Texas. There are still a couple Longhorns -6.5 out there but I would also play this at -7. Texas hasn't played its best game yet and I like them coming off a bye against a banged up Florida team I think is about done. The Gators scored 33 points in losses to USF, LSU and Miami. I don't see them doing much against Texas' defense. Also, look for the Horns to get the running game going versus a Florida defensive line dealing with multiple injuries. Horns -7 or less.

Pick Made: Sep 30, 4:33 pm UTC on BetRivers

Team Injuries

Texas Longhorns
Friday, Jan 23, 2026
Avatar
QB
Arch Manning
Foot
Avatar
WR
Emmett Mosley V
Foot
Florida Gators
Thursday, Jan 15, 2026
Avatar
WR
Dallas Wilson
Foot
Friday, Jan 09, 2026
Avatar
WR
Eugene Wilson III
Leg
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