This is my first half unit play of the season as I still question whether we'll see a fired up or demoralized Alabama squad in the Iron Bowl. Last week's performance against Oklahoma was downright abhorrent. Nonetheless, I like Auburn to keep it close based on the fact that they're 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games as a double-digit underdog. If the Tigers can pull the shocking upset, they would qualify for a bowl game and snap a four game losing streak vs. the Crimson Tide. I don't think that happens, but Auburn is playing well enough to hang around deep into the fourth quarter. Alabama 27, Auburn 21.