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Sat, Aug 3111:30 pm UTCMichigan Stadium
79 F
Fresno State
Bulldogs
FRESNO
Last 5 ATS
W/L6-6
ATS7-5
O/U5-7-0
FINAL SCORE
10
-
30
Michigan
Wolverines
MICH
Last 5 ATS
W/L7-5
ATS5-7
O/U7-5-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
6-6
Win /Loss
7-5
7-5
Spread
5-7
5-7-0
Over / Under
7-5-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
FRESNO @ MICH
Subscribers Only

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MONEYLINE
FRESNO @ MICH
Subscribers Only

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OVER / UNDER
FRESNO @ MICH
Subscribers Only

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30%
PUBLIC
70%
MONEY
2%
PUBLIC
98%
MONEY
Over79%
PUBLIC
Under21%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadFresno St. +21 -106
WIN
Unit1.0
+1833
56-34-3 in Last 93 NCAAF ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Different faces on the sidelines this season, with Jim Harbaugh no longer at Michigan after his move to the NFL Chargers, and Jeff Tedford stepping down once again for health reasons at Fresno. That's not all of the change at Ann Arbor, as much of the Wolverines' national title offense, including key cogs QB JJ McCarthy and RB Blake Corum, have graduated, with plenty of new faces for first-year HC Sherrone Moore. Meanwhile, interim Bulldogs HC Tim Skipper has most of his weapons back offensively including versatile QB Mikey Keene, the former UCF transfer who passed for nearly 3000 yards in 2023. With experience at every level on defense, FSU could very well hold its own against the new Michigan offense. Play Fresno State

Pick Made: Aug 31, 8:35 am UTC on BetRivers
Point SpreadMichigan -20.5 -118
LOSS
Unit1.0
+759
40-38 in Last 78 NCAAF Picks
+756
12-4 in Last 16 NCAAF ATS Picks
Tom's Analysis:

My suspicion is that Michigan will use this game to help determine its QB battle. I expect Alex Orji to start, but Davis Warren will play too, and because of this, I don't know that we see the Wolverines slow down. Plus, how many points can Fresno score on this D?

Pick Made: Aug 29, 5:23 pm UTC on FanDuel
Over / UnderUnder 46 -112
WIN
Unit1.0
+435
12-7 in Last 19 NCAAF Picks
+390
5-1 in Last 6 NCAAF O/U Picks
Chip's Analysis:

Michigan's has a defensive line that very few opponents on its schedule will be able to block, and I think that strength will set a high floor for what the Wolverines can accomplish this year. As the offense figures out its QB situation the expectation will be a heavy dose of the run game, keeping the clock moving and scores lower. Also with Texas coming up in Week 2, Michigan might prefer a game with as few possessions as possible.

Pick Made: Aug 28, 9:07 pm UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Fresno State Bulldogs
Wednesday, Oct 01, 2025
Avatar
OL
Campbell McHarg
Undisclosed
Avatar
WR
Luke Jones
Undisclosed
Michigan Wolverines
Saturday, Nov 29, 2025
Avatar
TE
Max Bredeson
Foot
Avatar
DB
Rod Moore
Undisclosed
Avatar
LB
Ernest Hausmann
Undisclosed
Avatar
RB
Justice Haynes
Foot
Avatar
WR
Semaj Morgan
Undisclosed
Avatar
TE
Hogan Hansen
Undisclosed
Saturday, Nov 22, 2025
Avatar
OL
Evan Link
Knee
Saturday, Nov 15, 2025
Avatar
LB
Devon Baxter
Undisclosed
Saturday, Oct 11, 2025
Avatar
RB
Donovan Johnson
Undisclosed
Saturday, Oct 04, 2025
Avatar
WR
C.J. Charleston
Undisclosed
Avatar
LB
Jaydon Hood
Undisclosed
Avatar
OL
Andrew Babalola
Undisclosed
Avatar
WR
I'Marion Stewart
Undisclosed
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