Yet another buy-low spot for USC. The Trojans got lucky with their win last week against California. We all know how bad the Trojans defense is, but Washington’s defense is very vulnerable as well. Over their last three games, opponents are averaging 460.3 yards and their defense has not got much pressure on the quarterback. The total is very high, so this will be another shootout and the Trojans are the better team in the redzone, converting at 96% at home.

The Huskies squeezed by Oregon a few weeks ago despite getting outplayed a good portion of the way. They have since barely gotten past Arizona State and Stanford. The Trojans were largely written off following their consecutive losses to Notre Dame and Utah, and they had a close call last week against Cal. Even so, if this game were played about a month ago, this spread is probably reversed by a touchdown. Last year in a similar spot, an undefeated Washington team went on the road and lost back-to-back games to UCLA to Arizona State.

These two teams could combine for 77 points and it wouldn't surprise anyone, that said you're gonna have to prove it to me. The only thing Washington doesn't want against USC is a shootout so expect not only a little more effort from the D but longer, sustained drives offensively as well. USC honestly might try to do the same (a bit). Not to mention the lookaheads to next week. Washington has Utah, USC has Oregon. We could see a slow start from both squads trying to avoid the big mistake early.

I'm done picking USC. If they beat me, so be it. After the last quarter of the Colorado game, they've been a shell of their former self and look far from the top-10 team they were earlier in the season. Washington hasn't been overly impressive of late either but I still trust their defense more than I trust USC's. In what should be a fun game until the end, I'll roll with the soon-to-be Heisman favorite, Michael Penix, Jr. Washington 42, USC 34.

Believe this is the highest total of the season and while I'm well aware that Michael Penix and Caleb Williams could combine for nearly 100 points, I will never not take an Under on a total this high in college football. I mean, the Huskies just beat Stanford 42-33 and we still would have cashed Under there. UW's defense has allowed just 28 plays of 20 or more yards this season (28 fewer than the Husky offense) and has surrendered just one rushing play of 20-plus yards. Just two non-scoring drives on each side and we should be good.

I know Washington hasn’t been as crisp as it was a few weeks ago when it beat Oregon, but it won’t matter here because USC can’t stop a nosebleed. Husky quarterback Michael Penix Jr will light up the Trojans defense and force Caleb Williams into a track meet. Can Williams keep up? Nope. I know it’s crazy to say that about the reigning Heisman Trophy winner, but he won’t get any help from his offensive line.