Expert Picks
CFB | TCU 51 @ Michigan 45 | 12/31 | 9:00 PM UTC
TCU +7.5 -110
WIN
ANALYSIS: Michigan went a perfect 13-0 and had just two games decided by seven points or fewer while dominating Penn State, 41-17, and Ohio State, 45-23. Now the Wolverines have to finish the deal against TCU, which comes from the Big 12, a conference that has struggled in the bowls so far. But Michigan has lost its last five bowls; TCU has won four of its last five. I’m taking TCU because of an edge with quarterback Max Duggan and the receiving corps. These guys don't give up and are ready for a close game since they've been playing them weekly since early October. I took the points with TCU.
Season Splits
12-1, 9-3 ATS
13-0, 8-5 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
73%
8-3-1
8-5
62%
On Road or Neutral
LOCATION
On Road or Neutral
67%
4-2-1
4-1
80%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
100%
2-0
7-5
58%
When Spread was +5.5 to +9.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -9.5 to -5.5
100%
1-0
1-0
100%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
Favored on Road or Neutral
100%
1-0
3-1
75%
vs Teams That Win >70% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >70% of Games
50%
2-2-1
2-1
67%
vs Teams Allowing <25 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 25 to 32 PPG
83%
5-1
2-1
67%
After >8 Days Off
REST
After >8 Days Off
73%
8-3-1
8-5
62%
vs MICH
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TCU
0%
0-0
0-0
0%