It's possible the wrong team is favored in this game. Washington enters at full strength as Texas is dealing with multiple key NFL departures. In a potential back-and-forth offensive battle, the Huskies are a more consistent and effective unit. They should also keep the pocket much cleaner for Michael Penix Jr. than the Longhorns will for Quinn Ewers. Getting the field goal along with the hook makes this a strong play, and a moneyline sprinkle is worthwhile at +135 or better.

This spread has nose-dived but has fortunately settled no lower than a field goal, making Washington the choice. Texas' opt-outs are critical: RB Bijan Robinson and his backup, plus the team's No. 2 tackler, LB DeMarvion Overshown. If the Longhorns are forced to resort to an aerial attack, QB Quinn Evers must withstand a dogged pass rush. The Huskies roll into San Antonio with six straight-up wins in a row, and their enthusiasm could negate Texas' crowd advantage.

This spread has shot down since the moment that this game was announced, and it's because the world finally woke up and realized just how dangerous this Huskies offense is. Quarterback Michael Penix Jr. led the nation in passing and Longhorns quarterback Quinn Ewers, while talented, hasn't topped the 200-yard mark since October 22. Penix will force Ewers into a shootout, and Ewers won't be up for the challenge. Take the points, but consider a money-line sprinkle on this one.

Alamo Bowl from San Antonio. I liked the under regardless but now definitely do as Horns star running back Bijan Robinson will enter the draft and skip the bowl game. Robinson led the nation in combined rushing and receiving yards with 1,894 (1,580 rushing, 314 receiving), was second with 20 total touchdowns and led the Big 12 with 131.7 rushing yards and 157.83 all-purpose yards per game. I may go take Washington +4 too but will think about that -- would for sure if this wasn't essentially a home game for UT.