I made the mistake of picking Nebraska to cover against a bad FCS team, North Dakota, thinking the Huskers would bounce back in a big way after losing to Northwestern in Week 0. I won't make that mistake again. The North Dakota game was tied late in the third quarter before the Fighting Hawks ran out of gas. That tells me all I need to know about Nebraska, which now faces a respectable Sun Belt team in Georgia Southern. Eagles cover.

Forget everything you know about Georgia Southern’s offense, which was run-first throughout its history. Coach Clay Helton, fired by USC, has modernized the attack. The public seems to think his counterpart, Scott Frost, will resuscitate the Huskers, but there is scant evidence through two games he can do so. Nebraska fell to Northwestern overseas, then beat FCS member North Dakota after being tied at halftime and ahead by a touchdown after three periods.

This total seems WAY too high in my opinion. Nebraska's defensive weakness so far has been against the run, but Georgia Southern is a pass-first team under former Southern Cal coach Clay Helton. Saturday night's forecast calls for rain showers in Lincoln so that should keep the scoring down as well. Georgia Southern probably doesn't top 17 points and the Huskers aren't scoring 46 to push this Over. The SportsLine Projection Model has 49 points being scored. ESPN's SP+ has 53. Sagarin 57.