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    Tue, Dec 288:15 pm UTCGerald J. Ford Stadium
    78 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Air Force
    Falcons
    AF
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L9-3
    ATS9-3
    O/U6-6-0
    FINAL SCORE
    --
    -
    --
    Louisville
    Cardinals
    LVILLE
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L6-7
    ATS6-7
    O/U6-7-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    9-3
    Win /Loss
    6-7
    9-3
    Spread
    6-7
    6-6-0
    Over / Under
    6-7-0
    Key Injuries
    No Key Player Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    DB
    Avatar
    OL
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    AF @ LVILLE
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    MONEYLINE
    AF @ LVILLE
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    OVER / UNDER
    AF @ LVILLE
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    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    0%
    PUBLIC
    0%
    MONEY
    Over0%
    PUBLIC
    Under0%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

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    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadAir Force PK -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +727
    63-49-2 in Last 114 CFB Picks
    +164
    5-3-1 in Last 9 CFB ATS Picks
    +800
    8-0-1 in Last 9 AF ATS Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    FIRST RESPONDER BOWL -- I had no plans to play this game but now will because Louisville leading rusher (running back version) Jalen Mitchell is out. He carried 155 times for 722 yards and five scores -- that puts even more pressure on dual-threat QB Malik Cunningham (who actually leads in rushing). No Mitchell should make it easier for Air Force to completely focus on Cunningham defensively. The AFA ranks No. 7 nationally against the rush.

    Pick Made: Dec 28, 6:38 pm UTC
    Point SpreadLouisville +1 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +490
    6-1 in Last 7 CFB ATS Picks
    +370
    7-3 in Last 10 LVILLE ATS Picks
    Zack's Analysis:

    FIRST RESPONDER BOWL -- Sometimes there are teams that barely make a bowl game, at 6-6, and are better than their .500 record indicates. Louisville is a team that fits that description. The Cardinals had two ACC losses by three points or fewer and had three strong non-conference tests against Kentucky, Ole Miss and Central Florida. I think Louisville quarterback Malik Cunningham utilizes his four years of experience and gives Air Force trouble. Play Louisville.

    Pick Made: Dec 28, 5:09 pm UTC
    Over / UnderUnder 55 -110
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +370
    7-3 in Last 10 CFB Picks
    +260
    7-4 in Last 11 CFB O/U Picks
    Barrett's Analysis:

    FIRST RESPONDER BOWL — The Falcons are, by far, the best rushing team in the nation. But option-based offenses are easier to prepare for with multiple weeks to prepare, and the Cardinals will have enough success to force some empty possessions. The Cards like to run the ball with quarterback Malik Cunningham, so the clock will keep ticking for the majority of this one.

    Pick Made: Dec 27, 6:44 pm UTC
    Over / UnderOver 55 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +1264
    27-13 in Last 40 CFB O/U Picks
    +590
    7-1-1 in Last 9 LVILLE O/U Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    FIRST RESPONDER BOWL -- When facing opponents often unfamiliar with its triple-option offense, Air Force engages in high-scoring bowl games. In the past decade, four postseason contests (out of six) resulted in 83, 62, 71 and 66 points. Louisville’s only bowl with coach Scott Satterfield finished at 66 points. Both sides have effective ground games — the Falcons’ is the top-ranked in FBS — and Cardinals QB Malik Cunningham is a dynamic playmaker.

    Pick Made: Dec 27, 5:48 pm UTC
    Point SpreadAir Force +1.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +850
    14-5 in Last 19 CFB ATS Picks
    Jeff's Analysis:

    The Falcons have the significantly better defense line (No. 37 vs. 98) and overall defense (No. 47 vs. 71). That travels well this time of year. Teams have fits trying to contain the Falcons' run-heavy offense. When the Falcons do throw, they average 9.5 yards per pass. Louisville was last seen allowing 52 points, 362 rushing yards, and 511 total yards in a loss against Kentucky. I love the fact that Air Force is 9-2 SU & 8-3 ATS on turf this season, while Louisville is just 4-5 SU & 4-5 on turf. The Falcons have a fast, ball-hawking defense (19.1 ppg) that performs well on turf. Finally, Air Force is 5-1 ATS as a neutral-field underdog of 3 points or less since 1993.

    Pick Made: Dec 25, 2:17 pm UTC

    Team Injuries

    Air Force Falcons
    No Player Injuries
    Louisville Cardinals
    Monday, Oct 23, 2023
    Avatar
    OL
    Renato Brown
    Undisclosed
    Tuesday, Aug 29, 2023
    Avatar
    DB
    M.J. Griffin
    Lower Leg