I don't agree with the move towards this over in this matchup. My simulations put the total at 59.4 giving a clear edge and play on the current number of 65.5 total points. Oregon will find success on the ground, but that should help bleed the clock enough to keep this one under.

PAC-12 CHAMPIONSHIP -- In this bizarre world of pandemic era college football, the Pac-12 "championship" is pretty much a vintage 2020 sporting event. We have a three-win Oregon team in a title game by default. The Ducks lost to Oregon State in a monsoon and to Cal in a mistake-heavy grinder. Meanwhile, the Trojans are undefeated but have repeatedly had to overcome double-digit deficits against inferior opponents. USC won't escape this time as the explosive Ducks exploit this opportunity.

This is a play on the situation. The Trojans are playing on a short week after Oregon had last weekend off. USC's also in a position where it had to prepare for two teams because it was initially slated to play Washington here. That was changed to Oregon when the Huskies didn't have enough players available due to COVID and contact tracing. Oregon, meanwhile, was able to spend that extra week off preparing for USC. So, yeah, it should be a close game anyway, and when you factor all of that into it, there's a genuine chance Oregon wins the game.