This total has moved up a point and a half since it was posted, which is fine with me. I felt the original line was just about dead on, and now there's value to be had here. Western Michigan has been a much different team on the road. At home the Broncos have averaged 43 points per game, while on the road that number is down to 25.25. Still, these two teams are too evenly-matched to like either side of the spread (though I'd lean Ohio), so I'll stay on the Under.

The Bobcats are clinging to life in the MAC East, trying to keep pace with Miami (OH). A usually stout defensive team, Ohio has had its issues this season, especially against the run. Western Michigan has a ton of speed and athleticism on the perimeter, led by RB LeVante Bellamy. Weather will be a factor in this game, but that means the Broncos could lean heavily on Bellamy and their run game, which doesn't bode well for Ohio. Take Western.