Both defenses are better than their offenses, and they both have better scoring numbers than yards per play numbers on both sides. Georgia is No. 11 in yards per play but just No. 26 in scoring. Its defense is No. 9 in yards per play allowed but No. 5 in points against. Florida is No. 35 in yards per play but just No. 45 in scoring and No. 44 in yards per play allowed but a solid No. 12 in points allowed. Florida also returns its two best defensive players from injury, both pass rushing defensive ends. Under is the play.

If you are going to take what has happened in 2019 into consideration, a healthy Florida has been better offensively and defensively than Georgia. The Gators have a far better loss (at Death Valley down four key starters) and have been tested consistently over the middle portion of the season. Kyle Trask has outplayed Jake Fromm, and Florida has a better secondary. However, if Georgia can find some holes in the running game, that could change everything. Still, this is a no-brainer for me, and I'm even going to sprinkle on the Gators straight up.

Florida has an offense and defense to compete with Georgia now. Georgia allows only 10 ppg, while Florida allows 15 ppg. Georgia has stayed Under in four of its last five overall, which includes a horrible 20-17 home loss to South Carolina, the team Florida beat 38-27 last week. Just the Under here.

These are two teams that are led by their defenses, even if they play different styles. Florida is more aggressive, and looks to disrupt. Georgia prefers to play the long game, and make you beat it over time. Both are effective at what they do, and both will be effective in this game. That's why I like the Under. The fact it's 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings doesn't hurt, either.

Florida hasn't been getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers despite having a very good offensive line, a stable of running backs and a competent QB. That sounds exactly like Georgia. Where the Gators have the advantage is in the secondary, and I trust their defense a bit more than the Bulldogs' in this game.

The Gators allowed more than 500 yards of total offense in their loss to LSU, followed by allowing nearly 400 to South Carolina in a game in which several breaks fell their way. Georgia responded to its loss to the Gamecocks with a shutout of Kentucky. Although the Bulldogs have lacked imagination and explosive plays on offense, look for them to come out refocused after the bye and see increased production. Their edge on defense is what makes the difference Saturday in this rivalry contest.