SDSU QB Christian Chapman is out 3-6 weeks with an MCL sprain, the Sun Devils have revenge from 30-20 loss in Tempe last year and oh yeah, ASU is 2-0 with a win over Michigan State. SDST backup QB Ryan Agnew threw two interceptions in 17 attempts last week versus Sacramento State.

San Diego State’s value has continued to slide ATS. It opened the year with a dud performance against Stanford and followed that up by a two touchdown victory over lowly Sacramento State. Without their starting quarterback, the Aztecs must try to contain a confident and now ranked Sun Devils team. This surge in Sun Devil value is not false but the number is. Grab the value on the home Aztecs.

A letdown is potentially Arizona State’s biggest hurdle on this trip. The Sun Devils stifled Michigan State as new coach Herman Edwards gets off to a dazzling 2-0 start thanks to a defense that has permitted 20 points. The timing for an injury to San Diego State QB Christian Chapman (knee) could not be worse. Backup Ryan Agnew has played in 10 games but never as a starter. The Aztecs historically struggle against the Pac-12, with only six covers the last 20 times taking on the Power Five big boys.

The Herm Edwards experience with the Sun Devils is off to a great start after last weekend's home upset of Michigan State. That hot streak will continue this week when quarterback Manny Wilkins and star wide receiver N'Keal Harry light up the Aztecs. The beauty of Arizona State this year is that it has the offensive weapons to play dial-a-score football, but showed last week that the defense can get down and dirty.

If this game were played as Game 1 of the season, San Diego State would be -4.5, but we have a lot of different data to go off between their first two games beginning with an immeasurable data point of coaching. SDSU's Rocky Long still has the same five offensive linemen that went into Tempe last season and won 30-20, but RB Rashaad Penny is in the NFL now. ASU's Herm Edwards has a nice believe-project going and ASU has earned the right to be favored over a FG here. Sun Devils get the win and cover.