Georgia Southern and Marshall are playing in the Sun Belt Conference Tournament semi-finals in Pensacola, Florida. Georgia Southern had more wins and more covers this season, yet they're getting 4.5 points. Georgia Southern won both meetings against Marshall this season as underdogs, but in conference play Georgia Southern was 8-10 and Marshall 11-7. Both teams average 10.1 3-point field goals made per game, and both teams average 81 points per game. Georgia Southern has won and covered their last five games, with all five being away games. I think Georgia Southern beats them again.

Why is Marshall favored over a team that trounced it twice in the regular season, most recently in the Thundering Herd's latest outing? Well, Georgia Southern takes the floor for the sixth consecutive day, thanks to the Sun Belt's odd bracket, while the Thundering Herd has rested for more than a week. They should be well prepared to flip the script. As hot as the Eagles are, they are a No. 10 seed facing a 2 seed. Marshall owns a plus-three net scoring in league games, compared to a minus-two for Southern. We are banking on the Eagles hitting a wall.