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Sat, Feb 2111:30 pm UTCCapital One Arena
Michigan
Wolverines
MICH
Last 5 ATS
W/L27-2
ATS15-15
O/U12-19-0
FINAL SCORE
63
-
68
Duke
Blue Devils
DUKE
Last 5 ATS
W/L22-2
ATS21-10
O/U10-21-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
27-2
Win /Loss
22-2
15-15
Spread
21-10
12-19-0
Over / Under
10-21-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MICH @ DUKE
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MONEYLINE
MICH @ DUKE
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OVER / UNDER
MICH @ DUKE
Subscribers Only

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62%
PUBLIC
38%
MONEY
41%
PUBLIC
59%
MONEY
Over83%
PUBLIC
Under17%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

SpreadMichigan -2.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
Bruce's Analysis:

This showdown demands a neutral DC venue (might Trump make an appearance?), as Cap One Arena gets some rare top-quality hoops after hosting the Wizards and Georgetown all season. Even if they played this at Duke, however, we wouldn't make a case for the Blue Devils. Michigan's frontline has a functional NBA look with rugged Fs Yaxel Lendeborg (14.4 ppg,/7.5 rpg) and Morez Johnson Jr (13.5 ppg/ 7.3 rpg) doing the dirty work, allowing 7-3 Aday Mara to concentrate on blocking and altering shots. Thus, Jon Scheyer’s 6-9 super frosh Cam Boozer (22.8 ppg/10 rpg) can expect to get banged around pretty good tonight. The Wolverines also seem to play better away from Ann Arbor (13-0 SU, ten by double-digits). Play Michigan (at Washington, DC)

Pick Made: Feb 21, 10:15 pm UTC on Caesars
1st Half Total1st Half Under 71.5 -115
WIN
Unit1.0
Chip's Analysis:

So much of this game comes down to how each team can neutralize a strength of the other, creating a stalemate of elite two-way basketball. Both teams do a great job defensively of denying looks at the rim, something that is helped by both having an excellent combination of size, length and athleticism in the front court. That’s a big piece of why these are the top two teams nationally in defensive efficiency, and the question becomes how each offense chooses to make adjustments to find success. I think that process will take some time, and early possessions for both teams will be well-scouted and produce enough stops to keep our total under 72.

Pick Made: Feb 21, 4:42 pm UTC on BetMGM
Money LineMichigan -147
LOSS
Unit1.0
Matt's Analysis:

I generally avoid these types of games. Why? Well, why bother with two evenly matched national title contenders until I have to? I'd rather go trolling in the MAAC or the like and find Merrimack value. But I did kinda grow up on this "rivalry." I was definitely for Duke even though I wanted to punch Christian Laettner square in the face. So did everyone. No idea why these schools are doing this in the middle of conference play (money), but Michigan is just older, bigger and stronger. Certainly guarantees nothing, but I have to admit the Wolverines look absolutely loaded. Sucks as a Sparty; they are better than Michigan State. So we root for the Ann Arbor heathens one day at least.

Pick Made: Feb 21, 1:29 pm UTC on BetRivers

Team Injuries

Michigan Wolverines
Monday, Apr 27, 2026
Avatar
C
Aday Mara
Pro Draft Prep
Avatar
F
Morez Johnson Jr.
Pro Draft Prep
Friday, Apr 17, 2026
Avatar
G
Winters Grady
Lower Leg
Monday, Mar 09, 2026
Avatar
G
L.J. Cason
Knee
Monday, Feb 09, 2026
Avatar
G
Ricky Liburd
Redshirt
Duke Blue Devils
Monday, Apr 27, 2026
Avatar
G
Isaiah Evans
Pro Draft Prep
Friday, Apr 24, 2026
Avatar
F
Cameron Boozer
Orbital
Monday, Feb 09, 2026
Avatar
C
Ifeanyi Ufochukwu
Knee
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