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We've got a 1-2 matchup for the Big Sky championship tonight with first-place Northern Colorado facing Montana. Each team won on the other's home court this year. The Bears have won six in a row including their last game when they destroyed Montana State 72-45 and their last three games have gone under. They shoot 50.9% from the field which is first in the nation but the Grizzlies are third in the nation shooting 49.8%. Northern Colorado to win.
The Big Sky's two highest-scoring teams have stayed on course offensively, each landing twice in the 70s in the league tournament. It's their defensive effort that makes the Under appealing. Montana has allowed 65 and 55 points, North Colorado 52 and 45. The Grizzlies rank below the NCAA Division 1 median at 222nd for possessions per game. Under backers are counting on a repeat of their 138-point meeting in the regular season (and not the 166-point rematch). The second- and fourth-ranked Big Sky defenses should collaborate to hold this total below the lofty 148.