Missouri is off their massive upset of the Gators and now take on a struggling Arkansas squad. This number feels like it should be higher than it’s currently set at. The Razorbacks have failed to cover eight of their last 10 games and Missouri is undefeated at home thus far, but only 6-7 ATS. The Razorbacks have the better defense in this one and have won seven of the last eight in this series. They’re still searching for their first conference win, but they protect the ball well and have a -2.6 point differential on the road.

No one is more down on John Calipari than me but this feels like a good buy low spot on the Hogs. They match up pretty well with Missouri, all things considered. One of Arkansas' biggest weaknesses is offensive rebounding but Missouri can't really take advantage. The Tigers rank 269th in defensive rebounding percentage. Missouri also lives at the free throw line and Arkansas fouls at a below-average rate. Might regret it but I I make Missouri -4 at home, so there is some value taking the Hogs at +6 or more.