Dayton is 7-0 SU at home where they haven’t really been tested. The Golden Eagles are playing only their third road game of the season where they’re shooting less than 50% inside the arc. The Flyers are shooting 60% inside the arc at home and protect the ball very well. Marquette is a well-balanced team but aren’t the strongest shooting team from beyond the arc. The Flyers have experienced guards that defend the perimeter well along with a strong homecourt. Dayton has won 23 straight in their building.

I think the wrong team is favored here and won't be surprised if it swaps by tip-off. Dayton is a little undervalued right now and while I like Marquette, I think they are a better bet at home or as underdogs. Marquette thrives at creating turnovers and scoring in transition but Dayton doesn't turn the ball over. The Flyers rank ninth in turnover percentage and 68th in allowing potential quick points off steals. Dayton is one of the most experienced teams in CBB and if the Flyers limit mistakes on Saturday, I think they get the win at home.