The Horned Frogs were held to 45 points by Houston in the Big 12 Tournament, but this experienced club should bounce back strong versus Utah State. Leading scorer Emmanuel Miller (15.9 pp, 5.9 rpg, 2.7 apg) and Ernest Udeh are good to go after dealing with injuries, and Jameer Nelson Jr. comes in with double-digit scoring efforts in five of his last six games. TCU has improved defensively due to a lineup change, and I expect the Horned Frogs to force critical turnovers in this matchup.

Each side here has taken advantage of the chance to get up and go in recent weeks and we expect nothing to slow either down on Friday at Indy. Remember, Jamie Dixon's jumpin' Frogs have ample depth (ten players averaging double-digit minutes) and plenty of balance, led by F Emanuel Miller (15.9 ppg) and catalyst G Jameer Nelson, Jr (11.3 ppg). TCU had also scored 75 or more in five of six games before running into miserly Houston in the Big 12 Tourney. Meanwhile, Danny Sprinkle's Utags enter Friday having scored 84 pg across their last foiur, all "over" results. Play TCU-Utah State "Over" (NCAA at Indianapolis)

Utah State is led by first-year coach Danny Sprinkle, who coached Montana State to two NCAA Tournament appearances, and a couple of his transfers from Montana State. The Aggies started this season fast and finished 27-6. And this might be Sprinkle's swan song at Utah State as he has been rumored as a candidate at Washington. The Aggies shoot 49.3%, which is eighth in the nation, and guard the three-pointer well (28.6%), which ranks third. Utah State has all the making of a Sweet 16 team. Aggies cover.

Utah State faced a much more challenging non-conference schedule compared to TCU. However, both teams maintain a close point differential, with Utah State having a +7.4 and TCU having a +8.0 this season. Utah State is a skilled team that excels at scoring inside (ranked 12th in 2-point FG%) and defending three-point shots (ranked third in the nation), according to Kenpom. The team is led by Danny Sprinkle, known for his excellent coaching skills, especially with extra time to prepare. The Aggies have demonstrated their ability to bounce back this season, going 4-1 after a loss. Utah State is 10-1 SU when playing with five or six days of rest since 2021, including 4-0 this season. Take the points in this upset maker!