Oklahoma has dropped three of its last four games. The Sooners are a different team at home and defend the arc very well, holding opponents to 28.2% shooting. Their defense also holds opponents to 61.3 points per game. BYU is 1-4 ATS on the road this season and have not been able to hold big leads at times. The Sooners shot the three better at home and are the better free throw shoot team in each team home and road splits.

Models project a total of 147. BYU generates half of its offense from beyond the arc -- its 51.4% 3-pt rate ranks #2 nationally. But Oklahoma has the personnel to match up well. The Sooners ranks #5 in 3-pt defense, holding opponents to 28.2% shooting from downtown. Both rank Top-25 nationally in defensive efficiency. I recommend playing a half-unit since our edge is one possession instead of two.

This is a good spot to buy low on an Oklahoma team that's lost two straight at home. BYU attempts the second-most 3-pointers per game in CBB. That plays right into OU's hands. The Sooners are tops in the Big 12 at defending the three. Another edge for OU is at the foul line. The Sooners shoot the most free throws per game in the Big 12, while BYU ranks 11th in opponent foul shots. Look for OU to get back on track with a strong effort at home.

BYU shoots a ton of 3-pointers, ranking No. 2 nationally in 3-point rate (51.4%), but the Cougs are running into an Oklahoma team that is one of the best in the country at 3-point defense. Porter Moser is going to need that Oklahoma defense to step up big for the Sooners' tournament hopes as Tuesday's game is one of the most winnable Quad 1 opportunities left on the regular season schedule. I like Oklahoma, at home, to disrupt some of BYU's offensive rhythm and that should be enough to finish under the total.