Indiana struggled in the pre-season. They did not look in sync offensively, losing four of their top five scorers. Last season, the Hoosiers struggled to guard the perimeter and that is something that Florida Gulf Coasts does very well. They play fast and were 29th last year in three-point attempts. The Eagles are 40th in returning minutes from last season while Indiana is 281st. FGCU’s Isaiah Thompson is a game-time decision and if he’s ruled in, this line should go down.

My simulations make this total 136.5, with Indiana likely controlling tempo and holding a comfortable rebounding edge. Both teams are good at not fouling and giving away free points at the line.