Kansas St. is 3-3 on the road this season. Since the first game against Kansas, the Wildcats only scored 70 or more points twice in their last six games. They’ve been giving up 77 points on the road this season. Over their last three games, they’re shooting 69.9 percent at the free-throw line with a shooting percentage of 43.6 percent. Kansas comes off a dominating performance at Kentucky looking for their revenge. At home, the Jayhawks are shooting it effectively at 54.3 percent and 86.5 percent at the free-throw line over their last three. I’m on Kansas.

This is too many daggum points for a rivalry that has already given us one classic this season. The X's and O's battle between Bill Self and Jerome Tang is going to be epic now that each has had one look at the other, and I think both pre-game and in-game adjustments are going to be key to deciding the winner. Clearly, I'm expecting another midseason classic here so I'll grab the points but also note that Kansas has had trouble putting teams away at home. Allen Fieldhouse is still a major home court advantage but it has not been a covering advantage, with the Jayhawks just 3-8 against the number at home.

Yes, Kansas State has lost 16 straight at Allen Fieldhouse and I expect that to reach 17 tonight, but 9 points!?!? Wow. The first Sunflower Showdown matchup in Manhattan was terrific, won by KSU 83-82 in OT despite 38 points from the Jayhawks' Jalen Wilson. The last time Kansas played at home, it was embarrassed by TCU. Again, I expect a KU win but this spread is crazy. I'll be shocked if this number sticks for very long at Caesars.