Obviously it's hard to know how both teams will react to missing out on an at-large berth for the Big Dance, but Colorado was playing quite well at the end of the season and has one of the best home-court advantages in the sport in the altitude of Boulder. The Buffs will have a big size advantage, too. It's a long trip for the Bonnies in a quick turnaround from learning their NIT fate Sunday. While I'm taking the ML, the Bonnies 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Jabari Walker and Colorado had a strong finish to the year, bouncing back from a bad Pac-12 start to win seven of the final eight games in the regular season and finish fourth in the Pac-12 standings. The problem was the Pac-12 being down and the lack of quality wins (though the Buffs did beat Arizona) keeping Colorado out of the NCAA Tournament. Home court should always be of note playing in Boulder, and though they finished the season strong I think St. Bonaventure is unlikely to make it in and out of town with a win.

This is a tall task for a Bonnies squad that went 4-10 ATS on the road and only covered once in five attempts as an underdog. Bottom line, this is a bad spot for them. Add in that they're going to Colorado to play in the elevation and at 11pm Eastern. This might be tough and we saw they faltered a bit early in the year. I think that's probably who they really are, especially on the road. I like the home court advantage here too much to pass it up. Lay it.