This spread seems high for an 8 vs. 9 matchup from the Atlantic 10. Fordham won the lone regular-season matchup and didn't have leading scorer Darius Quisenberry, who is back now. George Mason enters having lost two straight and four of five. The Patriots are 9-5 this season when they hit at least 10 three-pointers and 5-10 when they don't. Fordham has allowed only three teams to hit double-digit three-pointers with opponents shooting 31.5 percent from deep vs. the Rams. I understand why George Mason is favored but this should be around -3 IMO. The SportsLine Projection Model has GMU winning by 6. Fine by me.

I agree with both Micah and Max on this one and getting two buckets and the hook is a bit too much value for this 8 vs 9 seed matchup. Fordham is the 8, by the way. So they came into the postseason with better standing, and part of that is the win against GMU already this year. That win is not the sole reason I'm taking this but it factors in. The Rams will fight and get some good stops to keep this one close. Take the points.

Fordham went 15-15 this season, 18-11-1 ATS and 15-15 to the total. The Rams don’t shoot very well, but they play hard on defense and averaged a 66-67 score. They finished the season strong, winning five of their last eight games (5-2-1 ATS). One of those wins was against George Mason, 50-47. GMU lost four of its last five games (0-4-1 ATS). I took the points with Fordham.

I am surprised to see this line. This is the same line as in their first meeting where the Rams beat the Patriots outright 50-47. I think Fordham has a better team than George Mason and the Rams should be favored. Their defense should rule this game. This game should be tight and the Rams should cover this spread.