I have gone back and forth on this all day -- FSU has better size and is more athletic, but I worry about the Noles when they aren't at home. Their past five games outside of Tallahassee: Loss at North Carolina, loss at Notre Dame, very close win over UNC, loss to Georgia Tech (those two in ACC Tournament) and fairly ugly win over UNC Greensboro in Round 1 of the Big Dance. FSU is just 24-for-78 on three-pointers (30.8%) in its last five games outside of Tallahassee. In addition, senior guard MJ Walker tweaked his ankle in Round 1. He'll play, but that has the potential to become an issue again. Finally, CU is the No. 1 free-throw shooting team in the country at nearly 83 percent. Guess I've talked myself into the Buffs.

Florida State has won three of its last six games straight up and gone 1-4-1 ATS, showing that the team is playing below its rating lately. Colorado is in a rhythm that follows a great performance with another one, and it's coming off its greatest of the season. The Buffaloes also follow poor outings with bad ones. I like them to continue where they left off in Saturday’s win against Georgetown - shooting well from the field. Colorado should be favored. I took the points.