This is Colorado’s 11th game, but only the third at home. The Buffaloes won and covered the first two. Oregon has all the edges in statistics, but the Buffs' edge is in the altitude; opposing teams always get gassed in Boulder. The favorite has gone 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings, and the home team is 14-3 ATS in the last 17. I’m on the Buffs to cover.

Colorado is always a very tough place to win because of the altitude and the wild fans -- and Oregon has never won there in nine tries. At some point, that has to end, and I think it's tonight with no fans in attendance. The Buffs will be without starting forward Dallas Walton again because of a leg injury. He hasn't played since Dec. 28 and was averaging 9.6 points on 67.6 percent shooting as well as 3.0 rebounds. Rebounding could be the difference here as the Ducks have a plus-7.5 rebound margin this season, which would be the best by far in the Dana Altman era. Oregon is 6-1 ATS in its past seven games as an underdog.