Notre Dame has been outstanding at home under coach Mike Brey. Don’t forget that Brey was a Coach K disciple. Coach K wanted the season cancelled after the Blue Devils' latest loss. What will he want to do after another loss to the Irish?

The Irish just knocked off Kentucky, and they come into this game against Duke at a perfect time. Former Purdue coach Gene Keady used to say, "It’s not who you play but when you play them." Notre Dame is confident; Duke isn’t. Take the points and the moneyline on the Irish.

This is a tough spot for Duke laying -4.5 on the road without five-star Jalen Johnson. My simulations make the Blue Devils just -1.9 points better on the road against this Notre Dame lineup. Take the points and sprinkle the moneyline as Duke will struggle to replace Johnson's production.

Go bet this now before the spread changes -- and it will because Blue Devils five-star freshman Jalen Johnson, a preseason All-ACC selection, was just ruled out indefinitely with a foot injury. I'm not sure the struggling Blue Devils should have been road favorites with him, but I surely don't think they cover/win without. Johnson is averaging 11.5 points, 8.3 rebounds and 1.3 blocks per game.