I'm on the Vikings in this game, but I also think the Under is a strong play. The Minnesota defense has been waiting for this matchup all offseason after losing twice to the Lions last year, with neither game reaching 40 points. Case Keenum looked great in Week 3, but there's a chance he'll have trouble against a Lions defense that has largely played well thus far. I don't think we're getting six TDs in this game, making this a solid play for me.

Sam Bradford is out again for the Vikings, and that’s a good thing for us. While the Vikings were being incredibly undervalued last week with Case Keenum under center, this is a line that makes more sense. But since the Vikings still aren’t getting the full three at home, I’m picking them again this week. The Vikings defense will have revenge on its mind this week after the Lions won both matchups last year, both with late-game drives. The Vikings offense is unquestionably better than it was in those 2016 games, even with Keenum at quarterback (nearly 500 yards of offense last week).

We've seen the Vikings play two home games and they won and covered in dominating fashion each time. They have been moving the ball well and have averaged 400 ypg. I'd prefer Sam Bradford, but Case Keenum was magical running the show last week with 369 yards, three TDs and no picks. Home-field edge is better than indicated in the number, a place they've covered 24 of the last 31 times.

Sam Bradford isn't healthy, but Case Keenum is capable. The Vikings' defense is healthy and that unit should dictate. Minnesota, eager to avenge last year's sweep at the hands of the Lions, has outgained two opponents at home (Saints, Bucs) by a combined 278 yards. I'll back the Vikes to improve to 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 home meetings with Detroit.