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Sat, Nov 1612:00 am UTCGainbridge Fieldhouse
Miami
Heat
MIA
Last 5 ATS
W/L37-45
ATS36-45
O/U45-37-0
FINAL SCORE
124
-
111
Indiana
Pacers
IND
Last 5 ATS
W/L50-32
ATS36-45
O/U45-36-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
37-45
Win /Loss
50-32
36-45
Spread
36-45
45-37-0
Over / Under
45-36-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIA @ IND
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
MIA @ IND
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OVER / UNDER
MIA @ IND
Subscribers Only

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41%
PUBLIC
59%
MONEY
15%
PUBLIC
84%
MONEY
Over75%
PUBLIC
Under25%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total PointsTyler Herro Over 23.5 Total Points -125
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3192
180-126 in Last 306 NBA Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Jimmy Butler (ankle) will miss his third straight game for the Heat. Tyler Herro scored 26 points in the first game that he missed against the Timberwolves, then followed it up by scoring 40 points against the Pistons. With those performances, Herro has scored at least 24 points in five straight games. He has an excellent opportunity to hit this over with the Pacers having the eighth-worst defensive rating in the league.

Pick Made: Nov 15, 5:35 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Points + ReboundsBennedict Mathurin Under 28.5 Total Points + Rebounds -109
WIN
Unit1.5
+2398.5
149-103 in Last 252 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Bennedict Mathurin has been on a tear after the Pacers inserted him into the starting lineup. Mathurin has scored 20+ in four consecutive games, while shooting over 55% from the field, and racking up 9 rebounds per game. While Mathurin certainly looks the part, the shooting isn’t sustainable and he’s sharing the court with plenty of high usage players. He's also facing a Heat squad that plays very slow as Miami is 27th in possessions per game.

Pick Made: Nov 15, 3:00 pm UTC on Caesars
Money LineIndiana -167
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3519.75
168-91-1 in Last 260 NBA Picks
+1248
45-23 in Last 68 NBA ML Picks
+537
22-11 in Last 33 IND ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

NBA Cup night. Fifth straight road game for Miami, which has lost five of its past seven overall. No Jimmy Butler tonight, and that's mainly what this is. Not quite what he was but still the heart and soul of the club. Bennedict Mathurin has been lights out for Indiana since moving into the starting lineup, averaging 23.0 points and 8.3 rebounds while shooting 52.3 percent from the field and 52 percent from 3-point range in the past six. The Pacers are 7-1 ATS in their past eight at home.

Pick Made: Nov 15, 1:15 pm UTC on BetMGM

Team Injuries

Miami Heat
Wednesday, Dec 10, 2025
Avatar
SG
Pelle Larsson
AnkleOut
Saturday, Nov 22, 2025
Avatar
SG
Terry Rozier
Not Injury RelatedOut
Indiana Pacers
Monday, Dec 08, 2025
Avatar
SG
Ben Sheppard
CalfOut
Saturday, Nov 15, 2025
Avatar
SF
Aaron Nesmith
KneeOut
Friday, Oct 31, 2025
Avatar
PF
Obi Toppin
FootOut
Tuesday, Oct 28, 2025
Avatar
PG
Tyrese Haliburton
AchillesOut
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