Goals feel like the cleanest way to attack this match. Whether that be BTTS and over, or Barcelona to win and BTTS. One thing is certain. Atletico Madrid have been conceding goals in bunches away from home. They have conceded 15 goals in their last five away days. The advanced metrics back it up. They are conceding just 1.07 xGA at home, but allow 1.53 xGA away from home. Barcelona have too much creativity in the midfield not to create chances and likely score multiple times. Do they win? Probably. Do they win by two clear goals? Maybe. The -1 gives you push protection, which matters most. At home, Barcelona have been dominant. 15-0 in La Liga and 4-0-1 in the Champions League.
